Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) Posts Quarterly Earnings Results

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE:HCC) released its earnings results on Thursday. The company reported $0.44 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.62 by ($0.18), FiscalAI reports. Warrior Met Coal had a return on equity of 2.73% and a net margin of 4.35%.The firm had revenue of $383.99 million during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $381.72 million. During the same period last year, the business earned $0.15 earnings per share. The business’s revenue was up 29.1% on a year-over-year basis.

Here are the key takeaways from Warrior Met Coal’s conference call:

• Blue Creek longwall started eight months early, on budget, and funded from operations, delivering a smooth ramp with a ~1.5M short‑ton quarterly run rate and 881k tons sold in Q4 primarily into Asia.
• Warrior achieved record 2025 volumes (sales 9.6M st, production 10.2M st) and Q4 sales of 2.9M st, helping cash cost per ton fall to ~ $94 FOB in Q4 and driving adjusted EBITDA of $93M (up 75% YoY).
• The company finished Q4 with strong liquidity (~$484M available, including $300M cash) and reported Q4 net income of $23M ($0.44/sh), positioning management to begin returning capital to shareholders when market visibility allows.
• 2026 guidance assumes >30% higher sales and >20% higher production, ~90% of midpoint sales contracted and a PLV price range of $185–$215, while forecasting H1 free cash flow negative (H2 positive) and $50–$75M of remaining Blue Creek CapEx in Q1.
• Management flagged persistent market risk and price volatility — a weakening East Coast HVA relativity (≈65%), Q4 gross price realization of 75%, elevated freight/royalty expense, 1.6M st year‑end inventory and a potential >$50M working capital build — all of which could pressure near‑term cash flow and realizations.

Warrior Met Coal Stock Up 0.2%

Shares of Warrior Met Coal stock traded up $0.14 during midday trading on Friday, reaching $86.23. 1,544,684 shares of the company’s stock traded hands, compared to its average volume of 1,018,253. The company has a market cap of $4.53 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 79.11 and a beta of 0.65. The company’s 50 day simple moving average is $90.59 and its 200 day simple moving average is $74.25. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12, a quick ratio of 3.00 and a current ratio of 4.13. Warrior Met Coal has a 52 week low of $38.00 and a 52 week high of $105.35.

Warrior Met Coal Dividend Announcement

The firm also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Monday, March 2nd. Stockholders of record on Monday, February 23rd will be paid a dividend of $0.08 per share. The ex-dividend date is Monday, February 23rd. This represents a $0.32 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 0.4%. Warrior Met Coal’s dividend payout ratio is 47.76%.

More Warrior Met Coal News

Here are the key news stories impacting Warrior Met Coal this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Management highlighted record sales and production and the ahead-of-schedule start of the Blue Creek longwall, which management says is already reshaping production profile and lowering unit costs — a clear positive for future margins and capacity. Business Wire: Q4 & Full-Year 2025 Results
• Positive Sentiment: B. Riley raised its price target to $120 and reiterated a “Buy” rating, signaling analyst conviction and implying substantial upside from current levels. TickerReport / Benzinga note
• Positive Sentiment: Q4 revenue jumped ~29% YoY to ~$384M, gross profit more than doubled and operating cash flow improved, showing operational strength and better cash generation despite higher capex. Quiver Quantitative: Q4 results summary
• Neutral Sentiment: Full earnings call transcript and slide deck are available for deeper detail on production ramp timing and forward guidance; investors should watch commentary on Blue Creek ramp and 2026 cost outlook. Yahoo Finance: Q4 2025 Highlights / Transcript
• Negative Sentiment: Reported EPS of $0.44 missed consensus ($0.62), which can pressure short-term sentiment despite the strong top-line — investors may view the miss as a reminder of margin/cost sensitivity. MarketBeat: Q4 earnings note
• Negative Sentiment: Cash declined ~39% YoY and total liabilities rose ~28%, and there has been notable insider selling — these balance-sheet trends and insider activity add caution even as revenue and net income improved. Quiver Quantitative: Balance sheet & insider activity

Insider Buying and Selling at Warrior Met Coal

In other Warrior Met Coal news, insider Kelli K. Gant sold 10,000 shares of the stock in a transaction on Monday, January 12th. The shares were sold at an average price of $100.00, for a total transaction of $1,000,000.00. Following the transaction, the insider directly owned 70,580 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $7,058,000. This represents a 12.41% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is available through the SEC website. Also, CEO Walter J. Scheller sold 100,000 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction dated Monday, January 12th. The stock was sold at an average price of $100.31, for a total value of $10,031,000.00. Following the completion of the sale, the chief executive officer directly owned 294,183 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $29,509,496.73. This represents a 25.37% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. Corporate insiders own 2.10% of the company’s stock.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On Warrior Met Coal

A number of institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of HCC. Adage Capital Partners GP L.L.C. boosted its holdings in shares of Warrior Met Coal by 130.4% during the 2nd quarter. Adage Capital Partners GP L.L.C. now owns 1,889,025 shares of the company’s stock worth $86,574,000 after buying an additional 1,069,025 shares during the period. UBS Group AG boosted its holdings in Warrior Met Coal by 219.2% during the third quarter. UBS Group AG now owns 1,554,071 shares of the company’s stock valued at $98,901,000 after acquiring an additional 1,067,247 shares during the period. State Street Corp grew its position in shares of Warrior Met Coal by 25.2% in the second quarter. State Street Corp now owns 4,099,070 shares of the company’s stock valued at $187,860,000 after purchasing an additional 825,807 shares during the last quarter. Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. increased its stake in shares of Warrior Met Coal by 31.4% in the third quarter. Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. now owns 1,461,738 shares of the company’s stock worth $93,025,000 after purchasing an additional 349,400 shares during the period. Finally, JPMorgan Chase & Co. increased its stake in shares of Warrior Met Coal by 42.0% in the fourth quarter. JPMorgan Chase & Co. now owns 370,567 shares of the company’s stock worth $32,673,000 after purchasing an additional 109,527 shares during the period. Institutional investors own 92.28% of the company’s stock.

Wall Street Analyst Weigh In

Several equities analysts have weighed in on HCC shares. BMO Capital Markets lifted their price objective on shares of Warrior Met Coal from $65.00 to $72.00 and gave the stock a “market perform” rating in a research report on Thursday, November 6th. B. Riley Securities lifted their price target on Warrior Met Coal from $117.00 to $120.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a report on Friday. Zacks Research lowered Warrior Met Coal from a “hold” rating to a “strong sell” rating in a research report on Thursday, February 5th. B. Riley Financial restated a “buy” rating on shares of Warrior Met Coal in a research report on Friday. Finally, Jefferies Financial Group upped their target price on Warrior Met Coal from $95.00 to $120.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a report on Tuesday, January 20th. Four investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, two have issued a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, Warrior Met Coal currently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $98.80.

Warrior Met Coal Company Profile

Warrior Met Coal (NYSE: HCC) is a leading producer of premium metallurgical coal, operating deep underground mining complexes in Central Alabama’s Blue Creek and Brookwood mining districts. The company focuses exclusively on the extraction and sale of high-grade hard coking coal, a critical raw material used in steel production. Its mining operations harness longwall mining technology and rigorous safety protocols to deliver consistent coal quality to customers worldwide.

Warrior Met Coal’s product portfolio centers on premium hard coking coal, semisoft coking coal, and pulverized coal injection (PCI) products.