Tudor Investment Corp ET AL Takes $19.90 Million Position in Firefly Aerospace, Inc. $FLY

Tudor Investment Corp ET AL acquired a new position in shares of Firefly Aerospace, Inc. (NASDAQ:FLY) during the 3rd quarter, HoldingsChannel reports. The firm acquired 678,698 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $19,899,000.

Other hedge funds and other institutional investors also recently bought and sold shares of the company. Canal Insurance CO bought a new position in shares of Firefly Aerospace during the third quarter valued at approximately $293,000. Harel Insurance Investments & Financial Services Ltd. bought a new stake in shares of Firefly Aerospace in the 3rd quarter worth approximately $293,000. Teacher Retirement System of Texas acquired a new position in Firefly Aerospace during the 3rd quarter valued at approximately $3,836,000. LBP AM SA acquired a new position in Firefly Aerospace during the 3rd quarter valued at approximately $1,795,000. Finally, Phoenix Financial Ltd. bought a new position in Firefly Aerospace during the 3rd quarter worth $14,468,000.

Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades

A number of equities research analysts have issued reports on FLY shares. Weiss Ratings reiterated a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of Firefly Aerospace in a research note on Monday, December 29th. UBS Group set a $33.00 price objective on shares of Firefly Aerospace in a report on Thursday, March 12th. Roth Mkm reiterated a “buy” rating on shares of Firefly Aerospace in a research report on Monday, November 24th. Morgan Stanley reissued a “positive” rating on shares of Firefly Aerospace in a research note on Thursday, March 12th. Finally, The Goldman Sachs Group raised their price target on shares of Firefly Aerospace from $29.00 to $32.00 and gave the company a “neutral” rating in a research note on Tuesday, January 20th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, five have assigned a Buy rating, three have issued a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat, Firefly Aerospace presently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average target price of $38.88.

Key Headlines Impacting Firefly Aerospace

Here are the key news stories impacting Firefly Aerospace this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Q4 beat and revenue surge — Firefly reported ($0.38) EPS vs. consensus ($0.48) and Q4 revenue of $57.7M (up 163% YoY; annual revenue up 163%), beating sales expectations and highlighting rapid top‑line growth. Strong results and management commentary likely supported the post‑earnings rally. Earnings Press Release
• Positive Sentiment: 2026 revenue guidance raised — management outlined a $420M–$450M revenue target for 2026 as it scales lunar (Blue Ghost) and defense programs, giving investors a clear growth runway and helping justify recent re‑rating. Guidance Article
• Positive Sentiment: Operational & reputation wins — the Blue Ghost lunar lander (Mission 1) won the 2025 Collier Trophy and Alpha successfully returned to flight, strengthening the company’s technical credibility and boosting investor confidence in future contract wins. Collier Trophy
• Neutral Sentiment: Market coverage and trading flow — multiple outlets (CNBC, MarketWatch, Investing.com) highlighted the earnings beat and outlook; trading volume spiked well above average, amplifying price moves but potentially increasing short‑term volatility. CNBC Coverage
• Neutral Sentiment: Company materials available — full earnings call transcript and slide deck are posted for investors to review operational details and backlog commentary. Useful for due diligence but not immediate catalysts by themselves. Earnings Call Transcript
• Neutral Sentiment: Short‑interest data ambiguous — a March short‑interest entry shows 0 shares (no change), an odd data point that provides no clear signal on short positioning; treat with caution until corrected data is posted. (source: internal short‑interest entry)
• Negative Sentiment: Valuation, losses and execution risk flagged by analysts — at least one note (Seeking Alpha) reiterates concerns: no profits, high forward EV/sales (~5.97x), negative margins, rising operating expenses and cash burn, plus dilution/CapEx risk. These fundamentals-driven concerns could limit upside and increase sensitivity to execution missteps. Critical Analysis

Firefly Aerospace Price Performance

Shares of NASDAQ FLY opened at $23.22 on Friday. The stock has a market cap of $3.70 billion and a P/E ratio of -2.53. The firm’s 50-day simple moving average is $23.97 and its 200 day simple moving average is $26.33. Firefly Aerospace, Inc. has a fifty-two week low of $16.00 and a fifty-two week high of $73.80. The company has a quick ratio of 6.20, a current ratio of 6.20 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03.

Firefly Aerospace (NASDAQ:FLY) last released its earnings results on Thursday, March 19th. The company reported ($0.38) EPS for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of ($0.48) by $0.10. The company had revenue of $57.67 million for the quarter. The business’s revenue was up 541.1% on a year-over-year basis.

Firefly Aerospace Profile

Firefly Aerospace (NASDAQ:FLY) is a U.S.-based aerospace company that designs, manufactures and operates launch vehicles and in-space systems for commercial, civil and national security customers. The company focuses on providing end-to-end small- and medium-lift launch services, mission integration and spacecraft hardware to support satellite deployment and on-orbit operations.

Firefly’s product portfolio includes the Alpha small launch vehicle, developed to carry small satellites to low Earth orbit, and plans for larger vehicles and in-space capabilities to address a range of payload sizes and mission profiles.