Citigroup Issues Pessimistic Forecast for Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) Stock Price

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) had its price target reduced by stock analysts at Citigroup from $9.00 to $8.00 in a research report issued on Friday,Benzinga reports. The brokerage currently has a “buy” rating on the stock. Citigroup’s price objective points to a potential upside of 82.07% from the company’s current price.

Several other equities research analysts also recently commented on GENI. BTIG Research reduced their target price on shares of Genius Sports from $10.00 to $9.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research note on Thursday. Northland Securities set a $12.00 price target on shares of Genius Sports in a research report on Friday, February 6th. Benchmark reiterated a “buy” rating on shares of Genius Sports in a research report on Thursday, March 5th. Guggenheim lowered their price objective on shares of Genius Sports from $17.00 to $12.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research report on Friday, February 6th. Finally, Wells Fargo & Company lowered their price objective on shares of Genius Sports from $10.00 to $9.00 and set an “overweight” rating for the company in a research report on Thursday, March 5th. Three investment analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, thirteen have issued a Buy rating, two have issued a Hold rating and one has given a Sell rating to the stock. According to MarketBeat, the company has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average target price of $11.78.

Genius Sports Stock Performance

Shares of NYSE:GENI traded down $0.39 on Friday, hitting $4.39. The stock had a trading volume of 5,782,515 shares, compared to its average volume of 6,221,794. Genius Sports has a twelve month low of $3.83 and a twelve month high of $13.73. The firm’s 50 day moving average price is $4.83 and its 200-day moving average price is $8.00. The company has a market capitalization of $1.08 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -10.22 and a beta of 1.80.

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) last issued its earnings results on Thursday, May 7th. The company reported ($0.21) EPS for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of ($0.09) by ($0.12). Genius Sports had a negative net margin of 16.67% and a negative return on equity of 13.66%. The firm had revenue of $187.95 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $170.60 million. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm posted ($0.03) EPS. The firm’s revenue for the quarter was up 30.5% on a year-over-year basis.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Genius Sports

Several hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in GENI. Royal Bank of Canada increased its position in Genius Sports by 17.6% in the 1st quarter. Royal Bank of Canada now owns 44,339 shares of the company’s stock valued at $444,000 after acquiring an additional 6,623 shares in the last quarter. Cetera Investment Advisers raised its holdings in Genius Sports by 10.0% during the 2nd quarter. Cetera Investment Advisers now owns 15,288 shares of the company’s stock worth $159,000 after purchasing an additional 1,388 shares during the last quarter. Prudential Financial Inc. bought a new stake in Genius Sports during the 2nd quarter worth about $266,000. Invesco Ltd. raised its holdings in Genius Sports by 3,584.2% during the 2nd quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 3,291,635 shares of the company’s stock worth $34,233,000 after purchasing an additional 3,202,290 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Frontier Capital Management Co. LLC bought a new stake in Genius Sports during the 2nd quarter worth about $14,220,000. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 81.91% of the company’s stock.

Genius Sports News Roundup

Here are the key news stories impacting Genius Sports this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Management highlighted faster-than-expected growth in prediction markets and raised its outlook — a potential multi-year revenue/cross‑sell catalyst if adoption continues. Genius Sports Touts Prediction Market Growth, Raises Outlook
• Positive Sentiment: Q1 revenue beat: $187.95M vs. ~$170.6M expected, up ~30.5% year-over-year — shows topline momentum that supports the growth narrative despite profitability pressures. GENI Reports Q1 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates
• Positive Sentiment: Positive media/analyst narratives (The Motley Fool pieces) are reinforcing the long-term thesis that Genius is the “raw data layer” for sports leagues and could gain from a prediction‑market boom — this can attract growth‑oriented buyers. Kalshi vs. Polymarket? This Small‑Cap Sports Data Stock Is the Surefire Winner Either Way.
• Neutral Sentiment: The company said it updated FY‑2026 guidance in its release (the update was noted in filings/slide deck) — investors will need more color on margin timing and EPS trajectory to judge near‑term valuation. Genius Sports FY2026 Release / Slide Deck
• Negative Sentiment: Earnings miss on profitability: Q1 EPS was ($0.21) vs. consensus ($0.09) — a sizable miss that highlights margin pressure and drove short‑term selling. Genius Sports Conference Call / Results
• Negative Sentiment: Analysts trimmed price targets (BTIG cut to $9, Needham to $10) even while keeping Buy ratings — the cuts reduce upside expectations and add downward pressure on the stock in the near term. Analyst Price Target Cuts (Benzinga/The Fly coverage)

Genius Sports Company Profile

Genius Sports is a global sports technology company that specializes in collecting, analyzing and distributing real-time sports data and video streams. The firm provides official data feeds, live video streaming solutions and digital engagement tools to sports leagues, federations, broadcasters and betting operators. By integrating data directly from sporting events through its network of field officials and proprietary technology, Genius Sports ensures accuracy and integrity for partners who rely on up-to-the-second information.

The company’s product suite includes a cloud-based platform for data capture and distribution, an integrity services offering designed to identify and mitigate match-fixing risks, and a suite of commercial products that power odds creation, in-game betting markets and fan engagement experiences.