Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) Posts Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By $1.00 EPS

Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) announced its quarterly earnings results on Thursday. The financial services provider reported $2.50 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.50 by $1.00, FiscalAI reports. Assured Guaranty had a return on equity of 6.92% and a net margin of 40.45%.The business had revenue of $261.00 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $208.63 million. During the same period last year, the business posted $3.18 EPS. The business’s revenue was down 24.3% compared to the same quarter last year.

Assured Guaranty Stock Down 8.9%

AGO stock traded down $7.31 on Friday, hitting $75.12. 1,337,167 shares of the company’s stock were exchanged, compared to its average volume of 357,222. Assured Guaranty has a 12-month low of $74.18 and a 12-month high of $92.39. The firm has a 50 day moving average price of $83.17 and a two-hundred day moving average price of $85.67. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29, a quick ratio of 0.79 and a current ratio of 0.79. The stock has a market cap of $3.37 billion, a P/E ratio of 8.62 and a beta of 0.81.

Assured Guaranty Announces Dividend

The firm also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Friday, May 29th. Investors of record on Friday, May 15th will be paid a dividend of $0.38 per share. This represents a $1.52 annualized dividend and a yield of 2.0%. The ex-dividend date is Friday, May 15th. Assured Guaranty’s payout ratio is 14.84%.

Wall Street Analyst Weigh In

A number of brokerages have recently issued reports on AGO. Weiss Ratings upgraded Assured Guaranty from a “buy (b-)” rating to a “buy (b)” rating in a report on Wednesday, April 29th. Wall Street Zen upgraded Assured Guaranty from a “sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Saturday, May 2nd. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods cut their price target on Assured Guaranty from $108.00 to $103.00 and set an “outperform” rating on the stock in a report on Thursday, March 19th. Finally, Roth Mkm downgraded Assured Guaranty from a “buy” rating to a “neutral” rating and set a $80.00 price target on the stock. in a report on Friday. Two research analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and three have given a Hold rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat, the company has an average rating of “Hold” and an average target price of $92.33.

Insiders Place Their Bets

In other Assured Guaranty news, major shareholder Guaranty Ltd Assured bought 242,718 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Thursday, April 30th. The shares were purchased at an average cost of $24.72 per share, for a total transaction of $5,999,988.96. Following the purchase, the insider directly owned 1,002,718 shares in the company, valued at $24,787,188.96. This represents a 31.94% increase in their ownership of the stock. The acquisition was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which can be accessed through this hyperlink. Also, Director Lorin Radtke sold 1,219 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Wednesday, March 4th. The stock was sold at an average price of $87.14, for a total value of $106,223.66. Following the transaction, the director owned 8,297 shares in the company, valued at approximately $723,000.58. This trade represents a 12.81% decrease in their ownership of the stock. Additional details regarding this sale are available in the official SEC disclosure. Insiders have sold 174,969 shares of company stock valued at $14,096,948 in the last 90 days. Corporate insiders own 5.70% of the company’s stock.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several institutional investors and hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in AGO. Qube Research & Technologies Ltd grew its stake in Assured Guaranty by 176.3% during the 2nd quarter. Qube Research & Technologies Ltd now owns 366,644 shares of the financial services provider’s stock worth $31,935,000 after buying an additional 233,966 shares during the last quarter. Millennium Management LLC lifted its position in Assured Guaranty by 261.9% during the 4th quarter. Millennium Management LLC now owns 142,761 shares of the financial services provider’s stock worth $12,830,000 after acquiring an additional 230,920 shares during the period. Raymond James Financial Inc. lifted its position in Assured Guaranty by 60.7% during the 2nd quarter. Raymond James Financial Inc. now owns 481,707 shares of the financial services provider’s stock worth $41,957,000 after acquiring an additional 182,004 shares during the period. Barclays PLC lifted its holdings in shares of Assured Guaranty by 720.9% in the 4th quarter. Barclays PLC now owns 150,520 shares of the financial services provider’s stock valued at $13,527,000 after buying an additional 132,185 shares during the period. Finally, First Trust Advisors LP boosted its stake in shares of Assured Guaranty by 9.8% in the fourth quarter. First Trust Advisors LP now owns 1,464,219 shares of the financial services provider’s stock worth $131,589,000 after buying an additional 131,195 shares during the last quarter. 92.22% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Key Stories Impacting Assured Guaranty

Here are the key news stories impacting Assured Guaranty this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Assured Guaranty beat first-quarter EPS expectations, reporting $2.50 per share versus the $1.50 consensus, and revenue of $261.0 million also topped estimates. Assured Guaranty Ltd. Reports Results for First Quarter 2026
• Positive Sentiment: Management said new business production improved sharply, with first-quarter gross written premium and present value of premium both roughly doubling year over year, signaling stronger origination activity. Assured Guaranty Ltd. Reports Results for First Quarter 2026
• Neutral Sentiment: Analysts currently rate Assured Guaranty a “Hold,” suggesting the stock may be fairly valued despite the earnings beat. Assured Guaranty Ltd. Receives Consensus Recommendation of “Hold” from Analysts
• Neutral Sentiment: Several articles are centered on the company’s Q1 earnings presentation and snapshot, reinforcing that the market is still parsing the details of the quarter. Assured Guaranty Ltd. 2026 Q1 – Results – Earnings Call Presentation
• Negative Sentiment: Despite the earnings beat, quarterly revenue declined 24.3% year over year and EPS also fell from $3.18 a year ago, which may be weighing on sentiment. Assured Guaranty stock performance and earnings summary
• Negative Sentiment: Market commentary is also highlighting that AGO could be vulnerable to new lows amid Russell 1000 activity, adding to concerns about near-term technical pressure. Could Assured Guaranty Hit New Lows Amid Russell 1000 Activity?

Assured Guaranty Company Profile

Assured Guaranty Ltd is a Bermuda-domiciled provider of financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance products serving public finance, infrastructure and structured finance markets. The company’s primary business activity is credit enhancement, whereby it guarantees the timely payment of principal and interest on debt obligations issued by municipal and infrastructure entities. By combining rigorous risk assessment with active portfolio management, Assured Guaranty helps issuers access capital at more attractive rates while protecting investors against credit events.

In its public finance segment, the company underwrites municipal bond insurance for state and local governments, public-private partnerships and essential infrastructure projects.