Northland Securities Comments on BigBear.ai Q1 Earnings

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) – Equities research analysts at Northland Securities cut their Q1 2026 EPS estimates for BigBear.ai in a note issued to investors on Tuesday, March 3rd. Northland Securities analyst M. Latimore now anticipates that the company will post earnings per share of ($0.06) for the quarter, down from their previous estimate of ($0.05). The consensus estimate for BigBear.ai’s current full-year earnings is ($0.28) per share. Northland Securities also issued estimates for BigBear.ai’s Q2 2026 earnings at ($0.04) EPS, Q4 2026 earnings at ($0.03) EPS and FY2026 earnings at ($0.17) EPS.

BBAI has been the subject of several other reports. Wall Street Zen lowered BigBear.ai from a “hold” rating to a “sell” rating in a report on Saturday, January 10th. Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of BigBear.ai in a research note on Wednesday, January 21st. HC Wainwright decreased their price objective on shares of BigBear.ai from $8.00 to $6.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Tuesday. Finally, Cantor Fitzgerald reduced their price target on BigBear.ai from $6.00 to $5.00 and set a “neutral” rating for the company in a research report on Tuesday. One analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, two have assigned a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $5.00.

BigBear.ai Price Performance

BBAI opened at $3.83 on Thursday. The stock has a fifty day moving average price of $5.12 and a 200 day moving average price of $5.88. The company has a current ratio of 1.78, a quick ratio of 3.13 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16. BigBear.ai has a 1 year low of $2.36 and a 1 year high of $9.39. The stock has a market cap of $1.82 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -3.83 and a beta of 3.49.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) last released its quarterly earnings data on Monday, March 2nd. The company reported ($0.01) earnings per share for the quarter, beating the consensus estimate of ($0.05) by $0.04. The firm had revenue of $27.30 million for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $33.31 million. BigBear.ai had a negative net margin of 230.21% and a negative return on equity of 18.22%. The company’s revenue for the quarter was down 37.7% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business earned ($0.43) EPS.

Institutional Trading of BigBear.ai

A number of hedge funds have recently bought and sold shares of BBAI. Caitong International Asset Management Co. Ltd increased its holdings in shares of BigBear.ai by 77.1% during the 4th quarter. Caitong International Asset Management Co. Ltd now owns 13,756 shares of the company’s stock worth $74,000 after purchasing an additional 5,987 shares during the period. Invesco Ltd. increased its stake in BigBear.ai by 56.5% during the fourth quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 250,973 shares of the company’s stock valued at $1,355,000 after acquiring an additional 90,612 shares during the period. State of Tennessee Department of Treasury bought a new position in BigBear.ai during the fourth quarter valued at about $149,000. NewEdge Advisors LLC raised its holdings in BigBear.ai by 3.4% in the 4th quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC now owns 124,239 shares of the company’s stock valued at $671,000 after acquiring an additional 4,073 shares in the last quarter. Finally, VARCOV Co. bought a new stake in shares of BigBear.ai in the 4th quarter worth approximately $240,000. 7.55% of the stock is owned by institutional investors.

BigBear.ai News Roundup

Here are the key news stories impacting BigBear.ai this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Company strengthened its balance sheet — reported $462M in cash & investments and a ~90% reduction in total debt, improving liquidity and lowering refinancing risk; recent acquisitions (Ask Sage, Cargo Seer) add recurring revenue and federal-market access. BigBear.ai (BBAI) Strengthens Balance Sheet with 90% Debt Reduction and $462M in Cash
• Positive Sentiment: Institutional buyers and recent acquisitions create a potential catalyst — several outlets note rising institutional accumulation and management actions that trade dilution for a cleaner capital structure, which could support a rebound if revenue trends improve. BigBear.ai Stock Is Down Big, But Smart Money Is Quietly Buying
• Neutral Sentiment: Q4 results were mixed — EPS beat consensus (reported ($0.01) vs expected ($0.05)) but revenue fell to $27.3M (miss) as Army program volume declined and revenue guidance of $135M–$165M for FY2026 was below street estimates, leaving execution questions despite the stronger balance sheet. BigBear.ai Revenues Slump in Q4: Temporary Dip or Deeper Issue?
• Negative Sentiment: Analyst reactions turned cautious — Cantor Fitzgerald cut its price target (to $5) and moved neutral, and other firms trimmed targets (HC Wainwright lowered its target to $6 though it retained a Buy). Those cuts amplified selling pressure. Cantor Fitzgerald Issues Pessimistic Forecast for BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) Stock Price
• Negative Sentiment: Shares pulled back sharply on the analyst actions and the revenue miss, trading notably lower on high volume after the release — selling reflects near-term growth concerns despite the balance-sheet improvements. BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) Trading Down 7.1% After Analyst Downgrade

BigBear.ai Company Profile

BigBear.ai is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI) and data analytics solutions designed to deliver actionable insights for public sector and commercial clients. Headquartered in Columbia, Maryland, the company specializes in advanced analytics, machine learning, predictive modeling and network analysis to support decision-making in complex, data-rich environments. Its clientele spans defense and intelligence agencies, civil government organizations and enterprise businesses seeking to enhance mission outcomes and operational efficiency.

The company’s flagship offerings include an AI-driven analytics platform that integrates data engineering, algorithm development and visualization tools.