BHP Group FY2027 EPS Forecast Lowered by Erste Group Bank

BHP Group Limited Sponsored ADR (NYSE:BHP) – Analysts at Erste Group Bank reduced their FY2027 EPS estimates for shares of BHP Group in a research note issued to investors on Monday, July 27th. Erste Group Bank analyst S. Lingnau now expects that the mining company will post earnings of $5.04 per share for the year, down from their prior forecast of $5.18. The consensus estimate for BHP Group’s current full-year earnings is $5.09 per share.

Other equities analysts have also issued reports about the company. Argus set a $95.00 price objective on BHP Group in a research note on Monday, April 27th. Wall Street Zen raised BHP Group from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating in a report on Saturday, June 27th. DZ Bank raised BHP Group from a “strong sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research report on Thursday, May 28th. Weiss Ratings reiterated a “hold (c)” rating on shares of BHP Group in a report on Friday, July 17th. Finally, The Goldman Sachs Group raised BHP Group from a “hold” rating to a “strong-buy” rating in a research report on Friday, April 17th. One equities research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, two have given a Buy rating and seven have given a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat, the company currently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $78.00.

BHP Group Stock Up 3.3%

BHP stock opened at $85.82 on Friday. The company has a 50-day moving average of $84.87 and a two-hundred day moving average of $78.35. BHP Group has a 52-week low of $49.68 and a 52-week high of $93.83. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44, a quick ratio of 1.28 and a current ratio of 1.65.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On BHP Group

Several institutional investors and hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in BHP. AQR Capital Management LLC increased its position in shares of BHP Group by 230.0% during the first quarter. AQR Capital Management LLC now owns 31,852 shares of the mining company’s stock valued at $1,546,000 after purchasing an additional 22,201 shares during the period. MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. lifted its position in BHP Group by 20.7% in the first quarter. MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. now owns 13,594 shares of the mining company’s stock worth $660,000 after purchasing an additional 2,331 shares during the period. Invesco Ltd. lifted its position in BHP Group by 99.6% in the second quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 12,506 shares of the mining company’s stock worth $601,000 after purchasing an additional 6,241 shares during the period. EverSource Wealth Advisors LLC boosted its stake in BHP Group by 173.7% during the second quarter. EverSource Wealth Advisors LLC now owns 3,774 shares of the mining company’s stock worth $182,000 after buying an additional 2,395 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Guggenheim Capital LLC boosted its stake in BHP Group by 13.0% during the second quarter. Guggenheim Capital LLC now owns 16,692 shares of the mining company’s stock worth $803,000 after buying an additional 1,917 shares in the last quarter. 3.79% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

Key Stories Impacting BHP Group

Here are the key news stories impacting BHP Group this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Iron ore prices rose as traders assessed potential supply disruptions from BHP’s labor action. Higher iron ore prices can improve realized pricing and support BHP’s earnings outlook, although the benefit may be offset if strikes reduce export volumes. Iron Ore Climbs as Traders Weigh Supply Risks From BHP Strike
• Positive Sentiment: Reuters highlighted BHP’s ongoing transformation from an iron ore-heavy miner into a larger copper producer. The strategy could provide greater exposure to copper demand linked to electrification and energy infrastructure, potentially supporting BHP’s long-term valuation. Iron ore giants BHP and Rio are morphing into copper plays
• Neutral Sentiment: Discussion of the income available from a $100,000 investment in BHP shares keeps the company’s dividend appeal in focus. This may support interest from income-oriented investors, but it does not represent a new dividend announcement or a change in company fundamentals. How much passive income would $100,000 of BHP shares make?
• Negative Sentiment: Unionized iron ore workers at Port Hedland plan to strike on August 8–9, while reports describe the possibility of rolling strikes. Disruption at a key Australian export hub could delay shipments, raise costs and pressure BHP’s near-term production and earnings. BHP Port Hedland iron ore workers to strike August 8-9, union says
• Negative Sentiment: Erste Group Bank lowered its FY2026 earnings-per-share forecast to $5.04 from $5.14, below the roughly $5.12 consensus estimate. The reduction signals somewhat weaker expected profitability. BHP Group earnings estimate report
• Negative Sentiment: Unusually heavy put-option activity—30,346 contracts, about 788% above typical volume—indicates increased hedging or bearish speculation around BHP, though options flow alone does not confirm a change in the company’s outlook. BHP Group target of unusually large options trading

BHP Group Company Profile

BHP Group is an Anglo-Australian natural resources company engaged principally in the exploration, development, production and marketing of commodities. Its core businesses include the extraction and processing of iron ore, copper, metallurgical and thermal coal, nickel and other minerals. BHP operates large-scale mining and processing assets and supplies raw materials used across steelmaking, energy and industrial supply chains.

The company has a global operating footprint with significant assets and projects in Australia and the Americas, and commercial activities that serve customers worldwide.